judgmentanddecisionmaking2.blogspot.com
Chapter 2. The nature and analysis of judgment
Chapter 2. The nature and analysis of judgment. Sunday, 1 March 2009. 2008 Psych Review: Dougherty et al critique of fast and frugal heuristics. In 2008, Volume 1 of. Dougherty et al argue as follows. In particular, the computation of cue validities would require recording the co-occurrence of a target variable and the. Of information (in addition to other co-occurences). However, evidence indicates that people are more sensitive to positive occurrences than to negative ones. GHG responded by reiterating...
judgmentanddecisionmaking3.blogspot.com
Chapter 3. Judging probability and frequency.
Chapter 3. Judging probability and frequency. There is an error in Figure 3.3. This is the tree diagram representing Eddy's (1982) medical problem. For the branch representing P(Negative Cancer) the probability should be 0.208, NOT 0.028. Accordingly, the number at the rightmost end of the branch should be 0.0028, NOT 0.00028. This does not affect the answer to the problem stated in the text, which remains 0.077. My thanks to Chloe Turner (one of my students) for pointing this out. Sunday, 7 June 2009.
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Chapter 4. Judgment distortions.
Chapter 4. Judgment distortions. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Subscribe To Chapter 4: Judgment distortions. Judgment and Decision Making. The author of the site does not track or collect personally identifiable information on visitors, nor does he permit any third party to do so. Anonymous traffic data are collected through the use of a cookie installed by Google Analytics (see notice at the foot of the page).
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Chapter 5. Evidence and arguments.
Chapter 5. Evidence and arguments. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Judgment and Decision Making. Subscribe To Chapter 5: Evidence and arguments. The author of the site does not track or collect personally identifiable information on visitors, nor does he permit any third party to do so. Anonymous traffic data are collected through the use of a cookie installed by Google Analytics (see notice at the foot of the page).
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Chapter 6. Covariation, causation, counterfactuals
Chapter 6. Covariation, causation, counterfactuals. Page 63 contains a footnote where I give the formula for the phi coefficient. Unfortunately, the denominator mixes up products and sums, so is incorrect. The correct formula should be:. SQRT [(a b) x (c d) x (a c) x (b d)]. I'm grateful to John van den Bercken for pointing this out. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Judgment and Decision Making. Subscribe To Chapter 6: Covariation, causation, counterfactuals.
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Chapter 7. Decisions under risk and uncertainty.
Chapter 7. Decisions under risk and uncertainty. Sunday, 21 June 2009. Decision making from experience. Probabilities have shown similar results. However, according to a new study by Liat Hadar and Craig Fox (2009), a single theory may suffice for both described and experienced decisions. They suggest that the results from the two types of decision may diverge when there is an. Judgment and Decision Making, 4 (4). Hertwig, R., Barron, G., Weber, E. U., and Erev, I. (2004). Decisio...Saturday, 13 June 2009.
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Chapter 8. Preference and choice.
Chapter 8. Preference and choice. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Judgment and Decision Making. The author of the site does not track or collect personally identifiable information on visitors, nor does he permit any third party to do so. Anonymous traffic data are collected through the use of a cookie installed by Google Analytics (see notice at the foot of the page). Dan Ariely describes a field study into the endowment effect. The MPG (miles per gallon) illusion, explained by Jack Soll and Richard Larrick.
judgmentanddecisionmaking9.blogspot.com
Chapter 9. Confidence and optimism.
Chapter 9. Confidence and optimism. Monday, 30 November 2009. Other fans were asked to place a different, but logically-equivalent bet; they were asked to predict the winning team and to estimate the margin of victory. They received payments that depended on their accuracy. A third group of fans betted using a combination of the other two conditions. They first made a prediction against the points spreads, and then predicted who would win and by what margin. In their main analyses, Simmons et al. Simmons...
judgmentanddecisions.blogspot.com
Judgment and Decision Making
Friday, 15 January 2010. The end of the semester. Http:/ sites.google.com/site/inequalityaversioninanimals/. This is the link to our final coursework. As the is the end of the semester I was reflecting on the module of Judgment and Decision Making. Still not hundred percent confident with a wiki page, but able to create one ;). I have enjoyed writing this blog and I will still update it, maybe not as often. Wednesday, 13 January 2010. INEQUITY AVERSION IN ANIMALS. Thursday, 10 December 2009. In the study...
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Judgment Assets Recovery
We specialize in the enforcement of unsatisfied judicial judgments. We hunt them down! We garnish their wages! We attach their bank accounts! We seize their assets! We do whatever is necessary to enforce the judgment that you were duly awarded by the court! We are compensated only. If we are successful! From the judgment debtor, at no direct cost to you. The fact is - almost 80% of all judgments are never. Recovered. Your judgment may have been awarded by the court but enforcement is your. We neither cha...
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Judgmentassistance.com
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